Psychological Science ›› 2012, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (1): 100-104.

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The Effect of Mood on the Probability Judgment of Future Events

1,   

  • Received:2010-10-19 Revised:2011-09-23 Online:2012-01-20 Published:2012-01-20

心境对未来事件发生概率判断的影响

张萍1,卢家楣2,张敏3   

  1. 1. 上海师范大学教育学院
    2. 上海师范大学
    3. 淮北师范大学教育学院
  • 通讯作者: 卢家楣
  • 基金资助:

    上海市重点学科“发展与教育心理学”建设项目;教育部人文社科研究项目“青少年情绪弹性的理论与实证研究”

Abstract:

This research adopted short films technique to evoke related mood and used positive and negative emotional events as the judgment task. Under the premise of the personality controlled, the research explored that whether the mood-congruent effects existed or not in the probability judgment of college students when dealing with the future events in different mood conditions. The between-subject design was applied in this study, in which the mood (pleasure or sad) and gender (male or female) were taken as independent variables, while the probability judgment of subjects when dealing with the emotional events in the future was taken as dependent variable. Three procedures were carried out in this experiment: In the first stage, 200 college students were required to fulfill the personality test and mood measurement, and then 44 subjects meeting requirements were selected and divided into two groups coessentially. In the second stage, these two groups of subjects were brought into different mood one week later by watching different emotional movie clips, so that the pleasure mood group and sad mood group were formed. After the movie, the subjects were asked to make a self-evaluation about their emotion (fill out PANAS). In the third stage, the subjects made probability judgments of future events. The results showed: (1) The probability judgment of positive future events made by pleasure mood group was higher than that by sad mood group, which showed a significant difference (p﹤0.05). (2) The probability judgment of negative future events made by pleasure mood group was lower than that by sad mood group, which showed a significant difference (p﹤0.05). (3) There has no gender difference in the probability judgment of future events no matter which mood subjects were in (p>0.05). The results supported the suppose that mood would influence the probability judgment of future events, which is to say that pleasure mood would increase the tendency of making positive judgments and sad mood would increase the tendency of making negative judgments. The conclusion that there was a congruent effect between the mood evoked and the judgment of future events further enriched the hypothesis of mood-congruent effects.

Key words: mood, mood-congruent effects, probability, judgment, emotional events

摘要:

本研究采用短影片人为诱发心境的方法,用正性和负性两种情绪事件作为刺激材料,在控制人格变量的前提下,探讨了大学生在不同心境下对未来事件发生概率的判断中是否存在心境一致性效应。结果表明:(1)愉悦心境会增加做出积极判断的倾向,悲伤心境会增加做出消极判断的倾向;(2)无论是在愉悦心境还是在悲伤心境中,被试在对未来事件发生概率的判断上不存在性别差异。结果支持心境对未来事件发生概率判断有所影响,即诱发的心境与未来事件的效价存在一致性效应。

关键词: 心境, 心境一致性效应, 概率, 判断, 情绪事件