Psychological Science ›› 2014, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (5): 1060-1063.

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The Precondition and Mechanism of Anchoring Effect

  

  • Received:2013-06-19 Revised:2014-03-20 Online:2014-09-20 Published:2014-09-20

锚定效应的产生前提及作用机制

唐卫海1,徐晓惠1,2,王敏1,冯虹1,刘希平1   

  1. 1. 天津师范大学
    2. 中国科学院心理研究所,中国科学院大学
  • 通讯作者: 刘希平

Abstract: Anchoring effect–the assimilation of a numeric estimate to a previously provided standard–is typically described as robust and persistent, which affects human’s decision under uncertainty. Basic anchoring effect was caused by a simple number. The researches of anchoring effect will help us understand the negative impact of this heuristic in decision making and explore effective ways to reduce the bias. There have been numerous researches on anchoring effect, however, the precondition of anchoring effect, whether basic anchoring effect exist and the mechanism of it were not clear to this day and there has been considerable controversy. In order to investigate these problems, we conducted two experiments. In the first experiment, we exploited a mixed design to explore whether attention to the anchor was the precondition of anchoring effect, with anchor levels (high, low, non) as within-subject variable and presentation time (15ms, 45ms, 75ms, 1000ms) as between-subject variable. We recruited 120 college students to participate our experiment, there were 45 boys and 75 girls. The results showed that in 15ms condition, there was not anchoring effect, whereas in 75ms and 1000ms conditions, both observed anchoring effect, which demonstrated that attention to the anchor not comparison was very important to anchoring effect. In addition, in 45ms condition, participants were aware of low anchors but not high anchors, and we observed anchoring effect only in the low anchor condition. In sum, whether the anchor was high or low, anchoring effect was observed only if participants were awareness to the anchor. Therefore, attention to the anchor is the precondition of anchoring effect. What’s more, results also confirmed that basic anchoring effect was not fragile as previous researches indicated. With increased time to pay attention to anchors, the anchoring effect grew larger, which provided initial evidence supported Numeric Priming Account. The second study started from the conflict of the Selective Accessibility Account and the Numeric Priming Account, we set pairs of anchors which had identical semantic meaning but different presentations, such as 5 kilograms and 5000 grams. According to the Selective Accessibility Account, both anchors were semantically resemble, so there would be the same anchoring effect; whereas according to the Numeric Priming Account, anchoring effect was dependent on the absolute number of anchor, so 5 kilograms would lead to lower estimation and 5000 grams would lead to higher estimation. Results of 20 students showed that high and low anchors lead to different anchoring effect, which supported the Numeric Priming Account. In sum, this research shed light on the precondition of anchoring effect and provide evidence to the mechanism controversy of basic anchoring effect. Only when participants are aware of anchors, there would be anchoring effect, and the magnitude of it rely on the degree of attention to the anchors. In terms of explaining the basic anchoring effect, the Numeric Priming Account is more suitable. More studies were needed such as the development of anchoring effect in life span, which will enable us to understand this effect deeply and thoroughly.

Key words: anchoring effect, basic anchoring effect, Selective Accessibility Account, Numeric Priming Account

摘要: 为了探讨锚定效应的产生前提以及基础锚定效应的理论解释,设计了两个实验。实验一选取高、低、无三种锚值,设置了15ms、45ms、75ms、1000ms四种呈现时间,结果发现只有15ms条件下未出现锚定效应,随着呈现时间增加,锚定效应不断增大,低锚下的锚定效应高于高锚下的锚定效应。实验二设置了语意相同但表述形式不同的两种水平的锚值,结果发现两者引发的锚定效应不同。锚定效应的产生前提是注意,数字启动假说可以更好地解释基础锚定效应。

关键词: 锚定效应, 基础锚定效应, 选择通达假说, 数字启动假说